US Open Day 3 Men’s PredictionsGael Monfils vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoTopeThe final Grand Slam of Gael Monfils’ career.
Prediction: Moutet in 3Embed from Getty ImagesJan-Lennard Struff vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliTopeJan-Lennard Struff has never quite put it all together, which is a shame.
Prediction: Struff in 4Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo SonegoTopeWhat a brutal first-round match for Zverev.
Prediction: Sonego in 4YeshAlexander Zverev has beaten Lorenzo Sonego in all six of their previous meetings and holds a 6-0 head-to-head advantage.
Prediction: Zverev in 3IlemonaAlexander Zverev walks into Arthur Ashe as the No.
Round One action at the 2026 US Open concludes on Day 3 with 20 men’s and 20 women’s matches slated to hit the grounds in Flushing Meadows. No. 1 seed Alexander Zverev reached the peak of the tennis world in Paris. He wants more. The German gets a tricky first-round encounter against Lorenzo Sonego. Tope Oke, Yesh Ginsburg, and Ilemona Onekutu offer their predictions. But who will advance?
US Open Day 3 Men’s Predictions
Gael Monfils vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Tope
The final Grand Slam of Gael Monfils’ career. I expect him to make it memorable. And with this draw, he’s going to win a match, to boot.
Prediction: Monfils in 4
Yesh
Gael Monfils received a wildcard for what could be one of his final appearances here, but he has struggled for form and fitness throughout 2026. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has been the more active player and comes in with better recent results. This is their first meeting, and Vallejo’s current momentum could carry him through.
Prediction: Vallejo in 5
Ilemona
Gael Monfils’ farewell tour hits a tough first-round snag at the US Open against surging Paraguayan Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, who’s flashed hardcourt sharpness en route to the cusp of the top 50. Monfils can still turn back the clock for a five-set thriller in front of his adoring New York crowd, but a shaky 2026 makes an actual upset a serious stretch.
Prediction: Vallejo in 5
Corentin Moutet vs Dane Sweeny
Tope
Sweeny could be a pretty solid hard court player. I’m honestly not sure why it took him so long to adjust to the pro game. He’s fighting for the edge of the Top 100 now, and I think he can get a win here.
Prediction: Sweeny in 4
Yesh
Corentin Moutet has the flashier game and more tour-level experience, but he has lost ten of his last eleven matches heading into this tournament. Dane Sweeny is a wildcard who has been competing regularly on the Challenger circuit. Sweeny’s recent match play against Moutet’s struggles makes this an interesting clash.
Prediction: Sweeny in 5
Ilemona
Corentin Moutet’s US Open woes—three straight first-round exits since his 2022 fourth-round run should finally end against Dane Sweeny, a top-100 outsider making his main-draw debut. Expect the Frenchman to dictate with his movement and variety, wearing Sweeny down for a routine win.
Prediction: Moutet in 3
Embed from Getty Images
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Tope
Jan-Lennard Struff has never quite put it all together, which is a shame. He definitely had the potential to be a consistent Top 20 player. At the US Open, he comes up against an opponent with the same potential, who is a lot closer to meeting it.
Prediction: Ugo Carabelli in 5
Yesh
Jan-Lennard Struff has a massive hard-court pedigree with over 100 wins at this level, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli is just 7-20 on the surface in his career. This is their first meeting, and Struff’s power and comfort on quick courts should be too much for a player who prefers clay.
Prediction: Struff in 3
Ilemona
Camilo Ugo Carabelli limps into New York on a rough patch after first-round exits in Toronto and Cincinnati, plus a Cancun withdrawal while Jan-Lennard Struff reached a career-best US Open fourth round in last year. The German looks to be in better form and is the more reliable pick especially in these conditions. Form says it all: Struff should be the clear pick here.
Prediction: Struff in 4
Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego
Tope
What a brutal first-round match for Zverev. He has played well this year, though not much since Wimbledon, and Sonego is an elite player when healthy. It would not shock me to see another of the tournament favorites bounced very early.
Prediction: Sonego in 4
Yesh
Alexander Zverev has beaten Lorenzo Sonego in all six of their previous meetings and holds a 6-0 head-to-head advantage. Zverev is the top seed and comes in as one of the favorites for the title. Sonego has had a decent season but has never found answers for Zverev’s power and consistency.
Prediction: Zverev in 3
Ilemona
Alexander Zverev walks into Arthur Ashe as the No. 1 seed and a perfect 6-0 against Lorenzo Sonego and there’s little in the Italian’s game to suggest round one will be any different. Expect the German to use his French Open-winning form to brush the Italian in Round 1 of the US Open.
Prediction: Zverev in 4
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch – Imagn Images
